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Review of Metrolinx's Big Move
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Author(s): Michael Schabas
December 2013
  • Performance of subway and Transit City schemes
  • The map summarizes transit projects currently funded or included in Metrolinx’s “Next Wave"
  • Capital cost, net revenue, and new ridership for all major Metrolinx projects

Review of Metrolinx's Big Move

To Tony Coombes, 1937-2013, who created better cities with his patient observation, meticulous analysis, and thoughtful perspective.

Questions Raised

What is the future of the Greater Toronto Region?

Also of Interest

The Land Supply Question in the Greater Toronto and Hamilton AreaMar 2015
A Method for Mapping Settlement Area Boundaries in the Greater Golden HorseshoeMar 2014
The Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe in Historical PerspectiveDec 2007
Commentary on the Ontario Government's Proposed Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe Mar 2006
Neptis Commentary on the Draft Greenbelt Plan Jan 2005

Take it With You

Full Report (PDF)

Chapters

  • Foreword
  • Author Information
  • Executive Summary
  • Introduction
    • Transit in the Toronto region since the 1950s
    • Metrolinx’s Guiding Principles
    • The Plan
  • Study Approach
    • Net Present Value (NPV)
    • Net Financial Effect – the “Funding Gap”
    • Net Benefits and Benefit: Cost Ratios
    • Estimating ridership: fixed and dynamic approaches
    • Other Limitations
    • Understanding mode choice
  • GO Rail and a Regional Express Rail Network
    • Existing service on GO Rail
    • The GO Electrification Study
    • The Flaw in the Electrification Study Methodology
    • Making Electrification Work
  • Union Pearson (UP) Express
  • Using the GO System to Relieve the Subway
    • Improving the GO-TTC Interchange at Main / Danforth
    • Improving Interchanges at Bloor/Dundas West, Kipling and Kennedy
  • Subway Schemes
    • Subway extensions to Vaughan and Richmond Hill
    • Downtown Relief Line
    • Scarborough Subway
    • Modernization to make better use of the existing system
  • “Transit City” LRT Schemes
    • Background: Extending transit to Toronto’s suburbs
    • Costs
    • Passenger Benefits
    • What is wrong with the schemes?
    • How could the Toronto LRT Schemes be improved?
    • The Scarborough Wye
    • Is it too late to change course?
  • 905 region BRT and LRT schemes
    • Mississauga Hurontario/Main LRT and Dundas BRT Schemes
    • Brampton, VIVA, 403, and Durham BRT Schemes
  • The Importance of Integration
    • Why not have a single operator for the entire system?
    • Integrating Routes and Services
    • Integrating Information and Fares
    • Integrating Land Use Planning and Transportation Planning
  • Funding Considerations
    • Gas Taxes
    • Parking Levies
    • Other “investment tools”
    • Revenues: Smart Pricing and Charging for Parking
    • Savings through service efficiency
    • Learning from other transit systems
  • A Solution to the Scarborough Impasse: The Scarborough Wye
    • The Route
    • Costs
    • Ridership, Revenues, and Benefits
    • Net benefits
  • Conclusions
    • GO Rail Schemes
    • Toronto/TTC schemes
    • Suburban (“905”) schemes
    • Making the System Work Better
  • Appendix: Detailed Estimates of Costs and Benefits
    • GO Electrification
    • Analysis of Potential Lakeshore GO Rail Ridership Growth
    • Union Pearson Express
    • GO Relief Services
    • Subway extension to Vaughan
    • Subway extension to Richmond Hill
    • Downtown Relief Lines
    • Subway Modernization Package
    • Eglinton Crosstown Line
    • Transit City LRT Schemes
    • 905 Region Schemes
    • A Proposal for a Scarborough ALRT Line
    • Comparing Transit Modes
  • References

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The Neptis Foundation conducts and publishes nonpartisan research on the past, present and future of urban regions.

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